One of the major story lines over the last year is how well
the residential real estate market performed. One key metric in the spotlight
is home price appreciation. According to the latest indices, home prices are
skyrocketing this year.
Here are the latest percentages showing the year-over-year
increase in home price appreciation:
·
The House Price Index (HPI) from the Federal
Housing Finance Agency (FHFA): 18.8%
·
The S. National Home Price Index from S&P
Case-Shiller: 18.6%
·
The Home Price Insights Report from CoreLogic:
18%
The dramatic increases are seen at every price point and in
all regions of the country.
Increases Are Across Every Price Point
According to the latest Home Price Index from CoreLogic,
each price range is seeing at least a 19% increase year-over-year:
Increases Are Across Every Region in the Country
Every region in the country is experiencing at least a 14.9%
increase in home price appreciation, according to the Federal Housing Finance
Agency (FHFA):
Increases Are Across Each of the Top 20 Metros in the
Country
According to the U.S. National Home Price Index from S&P
Case-Shiller, every major metro is seeing at least a 13.3% growth in prices
(see graph below):
What About Price Appreciation in 2022?
Prices are the result of the balance between supply and
demand. The demand for single-family homes has been strong over the last 18
months. The supply of houses available for sale was near historic lows.
However, there’s some good news on the supply side. Realtor.com reports:
“432,000 new listings hit the national housing market in
August, an increase of 18,000 over last year.”
There will, however, still be a shortage of supply compared
to demand in 2022. CoreLogic reveals:
“Given the widespread demand and considering the number of
standalone homes built during the past decade, the single-family market is
estimated to be undersupplied by 4.35 million units by 2022.”
Yet, most forecasts call for home price appreciation to
moderate in 2022. The Home Price Expectation Survey, a survey of over 100
economists, investment strategists, and housing market analysts, calls for a
5.12% appreciation level next year. Here are the 2022 home appreciation
forecasts from the four other major entities:
1.
The National Association of Realtors (NAR): 4.4%
2.
The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA): 8.4%
3.
Fannie Mae: 5.1%
4.
Freddie Mac: 5.3%
Price appreciation is expected to slow in 2022 when compared
to the record highs of 2021. However, it is still expected to be greater than
the annual average of 4.1% over the last 25 years.
Bottom Line
If you owned a home over the past year, you’ve seen your
household wealth grow substantially, and you’ll see another nice boost in 2022.
If you’re thinking of buying, consider buying now as prices are forecast to
continue increasing through at least next year.
Source: Real Estate with Keeping Current Matters
